Friday, October 6News That Matters

College football odds and picks Week 6: Model loves Penn State, Ohio State


College football’s sixth weekend will attract bets from average Joes to professional bettors.

No. 8
TCU Horned Frogs
is favored by 13 against No. 23
West Virginia Mountaineers
, No. 1
Alabama Crimson Tide
travels to 4-1
Texas A&M Aggies
as a 26.5-point favorite, and No. 7
Michigan Wolverines
is favored by 10 at home against arch-rival
Michigan State Spartans
in a game that’s already seen the line move several points.

With so many eye-popping games and so many odds on the move, you’ll want to know to what SportsLine’s advanced computer model is picking.

SportsLine’s Projection Model turned in double-digit profitable weeks in college football last season across all picks, including a remarkable 18-4 run on straight-up picks to open the season. Anyone who followed it during those weeks profited big. And it’s fresh off a week in which it called
LSU Tigers
struggling against
Troy Trojans
and
Ohio State Buckeyes
continuing to cover huge spreads.

This week, the model simulated every top-25 game, plus the rest of the slate, and the results were surprising. 

The model is once again loving Ohio State, this time to cruise past
Maryland Terrapins
, 49-11. The Buckeyes are 4-1 against the spread this season, and will easily cover a huge 31.5-point line on Saturday. Expect the Over to hit as well.   

The model is also all-in on
Penn State Nittany Lions
, even on the road at
Northwestern Wildcats
. The Nittany Lions are 14-point favorites, but the model is calling for a blowout, 39-16. Penn State is winning a whopping 87 percent of simulations and has covered every game this season.

One huge shocker: TCU, favored by two touchdowns against West Virginia, only wins by five. Vegas is greatly underestimating the Mountaineers, who have beaten their last three opponents by an average of 33 points.

Another stunner: the nation’s No. 2 team,
Clemson Tigers
, beats
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
, but the score will be much closer than you think. Clemson is favored by three touchdowns, but the model is calling for a 29-13 Clemson victory. The Demon Deacons were 4-0 before dropping last week’s game against
Florida State Seminoles
.

It’s also calling for a top-25 team with high hopes to go down in flames, potentially wrecking its national championship bid in the process.

What college football picks can you make with confidence in Week 6? Check out the college football odds below and then visit SportsLine to see which teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, plus see which side of the big Michigan-Michigan State game is a virtual lock, all from the model that turned in double-digit winning weeks last season, as well as picks from 16 experts.

Alabama at Texas A&M (+26.5, 57)
Wake Forest at Clemson (-21.5, 47)

Iowa State Cyclones
at
Oklahoma Sooners
(-28, 68.5)
Penn State at Northwestern (+14, 54)

Georgia Bulldogs
at
Vanderbilt Commodores
(+17.5, 41.5)

California Golden Bears
at
Washington Huskies
(-27, 56.5)
Michigan State at Michigan (-10.5, 40.5)
West Virginia at TCU (-13, 73)

Wisconsin Badgers
at
Nebraska Cornhuskers
(11.5, 47)
Maryland at Ohio State (-31.5, 58.5)

Washington State Cougars
at
Oregon Ducks
34 (-2.5, 66)
Ole Miss at
Auburn Tigers
(-21, 57)
Miami at Florida State (+3, 48.5)

Oregon State Beavers
at
Southern California Trojans
(-34, 61.5)

Virginia Tech Hokies
at
Boston College Eagles
(+16.5, 48.5)

Louisville Cardinals
at
NC State Wolfpack
(+4, 65)

San Diego State Aztecs
at
UNLV Rebels
(10.5, 56.5)

Stanford Cardinal
at
Utah Utes
(+6.5, 54.5)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
at
North Carolina Tar Heels
(+15.5, 64)
LSU at
Florida Gators
(-3.5, 46.5)

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